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2009-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -22 (89-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Smith * 34 3-12 0-0 3-4 8 4 3 2 2 9 12 -
Marvin Williams * 32 2-8 1-3 4-5 1 1 0 1 2 9 2 -
Maurice Evans * 30 6-9 3-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 15 11 -
Jamal Crawford * 28 6-12 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 4 15 6 -
Joe Johnson * 27 8-15 2-3 2-2 3 5 2 0 2 20 13 -
Zaza Pachulia * 22 6-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 14 14 -
Al Horford * 21 4-5 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 10 12 -
Jeff Teague * 20 5-6 0-0 1-1 3 7 3 1 1 11 18 -
Mike Bibby * 16 3-6 2-4 0-1 0 2 1 0 0 8 5 -
Othello Hunter 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Randolph Morris 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jason Collins 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Bosh * 36 6-10 0-0 2-2 10 3 0 0 5 14 12 -
Andrea Bargnani * 35 7-15 0-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 17 6 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 34 5-10 0-2 2-4 7 8 0 1 2 12 16 -
Jarrett Jack * 31 5-7 1-2 2-3 2 2 0 0 4 13 6 -
DeMar DeRozan * 23 0-5 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
Amir Johnson * 21 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 1 1 7 8 -
Marco Belinelli * 17 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 9 4 -
Sonny Weems * 17 5-9 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 2 -
Antoine Wright * 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
Jose Calderon * 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Pops Mensah-Bonsu 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 1 4 -

* = starter