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2009-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 39 8-21 2-4 9-10 6 7 1 1 5 27 16 -
Mo Williams * 31 2-10 1-5 2-2 1 4 1 0 3 7 0 -
Anderson Varejao * 30 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 0 0 10 11 -
Delonte West * 28 6-12 0-1 2-2 2 3 2 0 4 14 5 -
Anthony Parker * 26 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 22 2-8 0-1 3-6 10 3 0 0 2 7 10 -
JJ Hickson * 19 2-4 0-0 2-4 10 0 1 1 2 6 12 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 18 4-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
Jamario Moon * 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 0 4 -
Daniel Gibson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jawad Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darnell Jackson 0 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 44 11-19 4-6 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 26 13 -
Shane Battier * 38 4-11 4-7 2-3 4 3 3 2 2 14 13 -
Aaron Brooks * 37 7-17 1-4 12-13 3 6 1 0 3 27 17 -
Carl Landry * 28 5-8 0-0 4-5 6 0 0 1 3 14 10 -
Chuck Hayes * 24 2-4 0-0 1-4 7 3 1 0 2 5 10 -
Luis Scola * 24 2-9 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 0 0 5 8 -
Kyle Lowry * 19 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 4 1 0 0 2 4 -
David Andersen * 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Chase Budinger 8 0-5 0-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -

* = starter