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2009-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (33.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +35 (118-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 36 5-9 3-5 3-4 4 0 0 2 4 16 9 -
Derrick Rose * 32 7-18 0-0 5-5 2 7 0 0 5 19 5 -
Luol Deng * 32 4-9 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
Joakim Noah * 29 0-4 0-0 2-4 11 3 0 1 2 2 11 -
Kirk Hinrich * 22 0-9 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 0 -6 -
Brad Miller * 21 1-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
James Johnson * 19 4-7 1-1 8-8 2 1 1 2 0 17 16 -
Taj Gibson * 18 5-8 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
Jannero Pargo * 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Aaron Gray 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Lindsey Hunter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 34 10-16 4-6 5-5 1 4 2 0 1 29 19 -
Joe Johnson * 29 6-16 0-3 0-0 5 5 2 0 3 12 5 -
Josh Smith * 25 7-12 0-0 4-5 7 4 1 0 0 18 18 -
Marvin Williams * 24 4-10 1-4 3-4 8 3 1 0 1 12 13 -
Maurice Evans * 23 6-8 4-6 2-2 1 1 1 2 0 18 15 -
Al Horford * 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 1 0 8 13 -
Jeff Teague * 21 3-7 0-2 2-3 4 8 1 1 2 8 13 -
Mike Bibby * 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 2 2 -
Zaza Pachulia * 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 1 6 -
Joe Smith * 8 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 1 5 7 -
Randolph Morris 7 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jason Collins 6 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter