Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -7 (99-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 42 | 14-27 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 15 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| JR Smith * | 28 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| George Hill * | 15 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter