Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +1 (108-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 7-21 | 0-1 | 12-18 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 39 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 42 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 42 | 12-25 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 41 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter