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2009-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +16 (98-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 37 7-22 0-3 2-2 10 1 1 0 2 16 4 -
Shawn Marion * 33 2-8 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 3 2 4 11 -
Jason Terry * 32 5-16 4-10 4-4 0 4 2 0 1 18 7 -
Jason Kidd * 30 4-12 3-7 2-2 3 7 1 0 4 13 8 -
Erick Dampier * 23 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 4 2 6 12 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 20 4-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 3 -
Drew Gooden * 20 3-8 0-2 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
Tim Thomas * 15 2-5 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
J.J. Barea * 12 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Kris Humphries * 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
Matt Carroll 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
James Singleton 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo * 40 10-16 5-8 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 25 14 -
Rudy Gay * 39 7-18 2-2 2-4 6 3 2 1 4 18 8 -
Zach Randolph * 38 11-20 0-0 2-2 15 3 0 0 3 24 19 -
Marc Gasol * 31 2-5 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 0 6 8 -
Mike Conley * 31 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 10 6 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 2 1 4 9 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 0 4 -
Sam Young * 14 1-5 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
DeMarre Carroll * 9 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Marcus Williams 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Hamed Haddadi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter