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2009-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +14 (101-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taj Gibson * 35 7-14 0-0 0-2 13 0 1 0 0 14 14 -
Luol Deng * 31 4-9 1-1 2-2 5 3 2 1 3 11 10 -
Joakim Noah * 30 2-7 0-0 3-4 10 3 1 1 1 7 14 -
John Salmons * 30 5-12 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 2 -
Derrick Rose * 29 5-16 0-0 3-3 1 7 1 0 1 13 5 -
Brad Miller * 23 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 1 1 8 10 -
James Johnson * 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 1 4 5 -
Lindsey Hunter * 18 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Jannero Pargo * 12 3-4 2-2 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 9 8 -
Aaron Gray 6 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mo Williams * 36 5-13 3-7 2-2 2 7 4 0 2 15 13 -
LeBron James * 34 8-17 1-3 6-10 6 11 0 0 1 23 22 -
Anderson Varejao * 29 4-9 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 3 1 10 9 -
Daniel Gibson * 26 7-9 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 15 9 -
Anthony Parker * 25 2-5 1-3 1-2 6 4 0 0 2 6 9 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 22 3-6 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 0 9 10 -
JJ Hickson * 19 4-7 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 0 0 9 7 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 17 4-5 0-0 0-5 7 1 0 1 3 8 9 -
Jamario Moon * 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 4 2 -
Delonte West * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Danny Green 5 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Darnell Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter