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2009-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 (30.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +31 (146-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 30 6-11 0-0 9-12 3 2 0 0 0 21 15 -
Sonny Weems * 28 3-11 0-1 1-4 3 2 2 1 0 7 4 -
Jose Calderon * 24 3-5 2-2 2-2 3 7 1 0 0 10 16 -
Rasho Nesterovic * 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 6 5 -
Marco Belinelli * 23 8-14 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 19 9 -
Jarrett Jack * 22 3-7 1-2 1-2 1 8 0 0 3 8 7 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 21 4-6 3-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 13 7 -
Andrea Bargnani * 21 5-9 1-2 2-4 0 1 0 0 0 13 5 -
Amir Johnson * 18 4-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 2 9 9 -
Chris Bosh * 15 0-2 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Pops Mensah-Bonsu 9 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 7 5 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 32 5-10 2-5 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 16 8 -
Marvin Williams * 28 5-9 3-5 2-4 7 3 0 0 0 15 16 -
Joe Johnson * 26 5-11 0-2 2-2 6 11 1 0 1 12 18 -
Al Horford * 23 10-12 0-0 4-5 7 1 0 0 0 24 20 -
Jeff Teague * 22 3-8 1-2 6-6 3 4 1 0 1 13 12 -
Mike Bibby * 22 4-4 4-4 0-1 0 5 1 0 0 12 14 -
Josh Smith * 20 5-7 0-0 6-6 4 4 0 4 1 16 20 -
Joe Smith * 18 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 12 11 -
Zaza Pachulia * 17 4-7 0-0 3-7 8 0 1 0 0 11 13 -
Maurice Evans * 14 4-7 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 9 8 -
Randolph Morris 7 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
Jason Collins 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter