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2009-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% -
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quentin Richardson * 39 8-15 4-10 0-0 9 2 1 1 0 20 18 -
Dwyane Wade * 37 9-18 0-1 4-7 5 12 1 0 3 22 19 -
Michael Beasley * 36 8-15 0-1 11-12 8 0 1 1 2 27 20 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 27 7-12 0-0 0-1 5 4 0 1 1 14 11 -
James Jones * 26 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Udonis Haslem * 22 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
Mario Chalmers * 21 2-3 1-2 1-3 1 2 1 1 1 6 7 -
Carlos Arroyo * 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
Dorell Wright * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Joel Anthony 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Roy * 42 9-25 3-8 4-5 5 5 1 0 3 25 8 -
Andre Miller * 31 4-9 0-0 10-12 3 6 0 0 3 18 15 -
Martell Webster * 30 4-14 2-6 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 11 2 -
Greg Oden * 30 4-13 0-0 5-8 20 2 1 4 1 13 26 -
Juwan Howard * 26 6-8 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 14 13 -
Steve Blake * 24 3-6 3-5 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 9 9 -
Dante Cunningham * 18 2-6 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Rudy Fernandez * 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 -2 -
Joel Przybilla * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
Jerryd Bayless * 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter