Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (27.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +28 (135-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 40 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 33 | 12-20 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 26 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Chris Hunter * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 31 | 10-19 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 11-11 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| JR Smith * | 20 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Joey Graham | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Malik Allen | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Johan Petro | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter