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2009-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (104-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Willie Green * 37 8-16 0-1 7-7 8 0 1 0 0 23 16 -
Thaddeus Young * 36 8-18 2-5 3-4 7 1 0 0 3 21 8 -
Andre Iguodala * 33 6-17 2-5 5-6 4 4 4 1 3 19 12 -
Samuel Dalembert * 32 2-6 0-0 2-2 19 2 3 3 3 6 24 -
Elton Brand * 24 8-12 0-0 5-6 10 0 0 0 1 21 18 -
Jrue Holiday * 24 3-7 0-1 2-2 0 4 0 0 4 8 1 -
Jason Smith * 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Royal Ivey * 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Rodney Carney * 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Jason Kapono 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Kidd * 39 8-16 5-8 1-2 6 11 4 3 2 22 28 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 39 11-26 1-2 5-5 6 4 0 0 0 28 12 -
Jason Terry * 33 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 7 6 -
J.J. Barea * 30 4-10 3-6 0-0 3 6 1 0 3 11 8 -
Shawn Marion * 30 6-10 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
Drew Gooden * 28 5-10 0-0 5-6 10 0 1 2 0 15 18 -
Erick Dampier * 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
James Singleton * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 2 4 -

* = starter