Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +7 (105-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 48 | 15-24 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 16 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 47 | 9-21 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 41 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 41 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 42 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 39 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| George Hill | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter