Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 38 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 35 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cook | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 13-23 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 40 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| James Singleton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter