Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +20 (118-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Garcia * | 46 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 40 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 40 | 14-20 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rashad McCants * | 11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Cedric Simmons | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 32 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| JR Smith * | 29 | 13-22 | 11-18 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 29 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 23 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter