Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.1 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (96-94). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Cardinal * | 40 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 38 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 37 | 6-14 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 29 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 18 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 8-19 | 2-3 | 16-17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 26 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| James Singleton * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter