Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +10 (102-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 13-23 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 38 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 45 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 44 | 11-15 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 43 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter