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2009-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 76.6% 23.4% - โœ—
Margin 74.6% 25.4% -5.9 โœ— (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 77.4% 22.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 77.4% 22.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 63.8% 36.2% - โœ—

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +10 (103-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Lee * 42 4-11 2-4 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 10 7 -
Tony Battie * 35 5-10 0-1 4-6 4 1 1 0 2 14 8 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 29 5-8 0-1 6-8 6 2 1 1 0 16 18 -
Marcin Gortat * 28 4-6 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 0 2 8 7 -
Mickael Pietrus * 27 5-13 3-7 1-1 1 1 0 1 1 14 3 -
Rafer Alston * 26 6-13 1-4 0-0 3 8 1 0 2 13 10 -
Dwight Howard * 26 2-7 0-0 3-7 8 2 0 4 2 7 12 -
Anthony Johnson * 22 4-9 1-1 2-4 2 4 0 0 2 11 6 -
JJ Redick * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Adonal Foyle 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Carter * 39 7-16 4-6 9-9 2 9 0 0 1 27 21 -
Keyon Dooling * 37 5-9 1-3 1-1 1 10 1 0 3 12 12 -
Chris Douglas-Roberts * 29 4-9 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 4 10 1 -
Jarvis Hayes * 27 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 7 6 -
Josh Boone * 26 5-6 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 1 1 11 13 -
Jianlian Yi * 25 1-5 0-1 1-2 7 3 1 2 1 3 10 -
Brook Lopez * 21 6-9 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 4 1 13 19 -
Ryan Anderson * 16 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
Bobby Simmons * 16 4-5 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 11 5 -

* = starter