Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +29 (130-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Boozer * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 21 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matt Harpring | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyrylo Fesenko | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 30 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Singleton * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Green | 4 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter