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2009-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +9 (103-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keyon Dooling * 40 5-11 1-6 5-5 5 8 0 1 4 16 15 -
Brook Lopez * 35 7-10 0-0 6-7 10 1 0 2 2 20 21 -
Devin Harris * 34 4-9 0-0 6-8 8 5 3 0 4 14 17 -
Ryan Anderson * 34 6-16 1-6 4-4 10 2 2 1 2 17 14 -
Vince Carter * 28 2-10 0-4 0-2 2 2 1 1 0 4 0 -
Jarvis Hayes * 23 5-10 4-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 14 5 -
Chris Douglas-Roberts * 17 4-6 0-0 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 9 6 -
Bobby Simmons * 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Josh Boone * 12 0-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 39 7-16 2-8 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 17 5 -
Ben Gordon * 38 3-14 2-6 10-12 3 1 0 0 3 18 5 -
Derrick Rose * 34 7-12 0-0 1-1 4 5 2 0 2 15 12 -
Joakim Noah * 32 3-7 0-0 6-7 10 0 4 1 2 12 18 -
Brad Miller * 28 4-7 1-1 4-4 7 2 1 0 0 13 16 -
Tyrus Thomas * 27 2-8 0-0 5-6 5 3 1 3 1 9 12 -
Kirk Hinrich * 24 3-8 0-0 1-2 3 5 1 0 1 7 7 -
Tim Thomas * 14 3-4 2-2 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 12 11 -

* = starter