Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (107-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 14-26 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| James Singleton * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 42 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 41 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 37 | 10-16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Marko Jaric * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter