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2009-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% +6.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +10 (105-95). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ramon Sessions * 38 6-12 0-0 6-7 5 10 4 0 3 18 22 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 34 2-5 0-0 2-4 4 2 2 1 1 6 9 -
Charlie Bell * 34 6-13 1-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 14 5 -
Richard Jefferson * 33 6-16 0-4 5-5 3 3 0 0 5 17 2 -
Dan Gadzuric * 26 3-6 0-0 4-5 6 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
Charlie Villanueva * 25 4-9 1-4 2-2 2 0 2 1 2 11 5 -
Malik Allen * 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
Luke Ridnour * 15 4-6 2-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 0 11 11 -
Joe Alexander * 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
Keith Bogans 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 42 5-14 0-3 10-14 4 3 3 0 3 20 13 -
Andre Miller * 38 7-11 0-0 4-4 5 11 1 0 8 18 16 -
Lou Williams * 31 7-10 1-2 6-8 3 4 2 0 1 21 19 -
Marreese Speights * 26 6-9 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 14 11 -
Reggie Evans * 25 4-6 0-0 5-7 7 0 0 0 2 13 12 -
Samuel Dalembert * 18 1-6 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
Willie Green * 17 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Donyell Marshall * 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 3 8 -
Royal Ivey * 14 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Theo Ratliff * 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter