Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | -4.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -20 (88-108). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| James Singleton * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Green | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Carney * | 39 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mark Madsen * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Collins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter