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2009-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 51.7% 48.3% +0.5 โœ— (3.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (101-97). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 44 10-19 1-5 6-6 7 5 2 0 3 27 19 -
Thaddeus Young * 38 10-15 0-1 2-2 8 3 1 0 1 22 18 -
Andre Miller * 33 5-14 0-2 3-3 4 6 2 0 2 13 9 -
Theo Ratliff * 23 3-5 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
Willie Green * 23 3-6 1-1 0-0 0 4 1 1 0 7 7 -
Lou Williams * 21 4-9 1-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 10 3 -
Reggie Evans * 17 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Royal Ivey * 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Marreese Speights * 13 0-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Samuel Dalembert * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Donyell Marshall 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 38 8-11 3-4 2-2 0 3 0 0 0 21 13 -
Antonio McDyess * 35 4-7 0-0 0-1 6 3 0 1 2 8 9 -
Richard Hamilton * 31 6-12 1-4 1-3 4 7 0 0 2 14 11 -
Rodney Stuckey * 26 7-13 0-1 2-2 3 5 3 0 0 16 14 -
Will Bynum * 22 4-9 0-0 4-4 5 4 0 0 3 12 9 -
Kwame Brown * 22 3-6 0-0 7-11 5 0 0 0 0 13 12 -
Allen Iverson * 21 3-9 0-0 2-4 2 2 1 0 2 8 2 -
Jason Maxiell * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
Amir Johnson * 18 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 5 9 -
Walter Herrmann * 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter