Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | +10.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +28 (102-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 7-23 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| James Singleton * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| LeBron James * | 31 | 9-22 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Delonte West * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JJ Hickson | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tarence Kinsey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter