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2009-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 โœ— (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -5 (95-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raja Bell * 40 5-14 1-4 2-2 8 4 4 0 2 13 13 -
Raymond Felton * 39 8-14 1-5 3-6 2 5 3 0 5 20 11 -
Gerald Wallace * 38 6-9 0-2 2-4 11 1 1 0 1 14 17 -
Boris Diaw * 33 8-16 2-3 6-7 1 6 0 0 2 24 13 -
Emeka Okafor * 25 4-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 2 8 11 -
D.J. Augustin * 16 4-5 2-3 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 13 9 -
Juwan Howard * 13 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -2 -
DeSagana Diop * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Vladimir Radmanovic * 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 1 7 -
Nazr Mohammed 5 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 2 3 5 -
Cartier Martin 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 42 8-18 2-6 7-9 3 3 2 0 1 25 14 -
Thaddeus Young * 39 10-14 1-1 0-0 7 4 2 0 2 21 18 -
Andre Miller * 34 2-11 0-0 3-3 2 3 1 0 5 7 -3 -
Lou Williams * 25 3-7 0-1 8-8 2 1 0 0 2 14 8 -
Samuel Dalembert * 22 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 2 1 4 7 -
Reggie Evans * 21 3-4 0-0 4-6 4 0 3 0 3 10 10 -
Willie Green * 21 2-6 0-2 3-3 0 2 2 0 0 7 5 -
Marreese Speights * 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Royal Ivey * 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Theo Ratliff 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Donyell Marshall 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter