Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +22 (128-106). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 36 | 10-11 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 33 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Rob Kurz | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| James Singleton * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 18 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter