Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +1 (107-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 43 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 39 | 12-26 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 25 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rob Kurz | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 34 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| George Hill * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter