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2009-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Margin 72.2% 27.8% -5.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.5% 24.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -4 (102-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 40 12-18 0-0 5-11 14 2 1 4 3 29 29 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 36 6-15 2-8 2-3 8 4 0 0 4 16 9 -
Courtney Lee * 36 6-8 2-3 8-8 3 1 3 0 1 22 20 -
Rashard Lewis * 34 3-10 1-4 3-4 6 2 0 0 1 10 7 -
Rafer Alston * 29 2-10 1-4 4-6 7 2 2 0 1 9 9 -
Anthony Johnson * 18 3-5 0-2 5-6 2 2 0 0 0 11 10 -
Tony Battie * 13 0-2 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
JJ Redick * 12 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Marcin Gortat * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 5 -
Mickael Pietrus 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Duhon * 38 6-10 3-5 1-2 2 4 2 0 2 16 12 -
Wilson Chandler * 36 5-10 1-1 6-7 8 2 2 2 1 17 20 -
Quentin Richardson * 36 5-13 3-5 4-6 5 1 1 0 1 17 10 -
Al Harrington * 34 4-13 1-3 1-1 7 1 0 0 3 10 2 -
Nate Robinson * 31 6-23 1-7 6-7 7 6 0 0 4 19 5 -
David Lee * 30 6-12 0-0 2-2 13 0 1 0 0 14 16 -
Chris Wilcox * 17 4-6 0-0 0-6 4 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
Jared Jeffries * 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 -

* = starter