Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +8 (96-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 9-21 | 0-3 | 9-14 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Luther Head * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Jones * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyon Dooling * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 37 | 5-18 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 27 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts * | 27 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Josh Boone * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter