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2009-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% +3.8 โœ“ (19.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 โœ“ (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“

Actual: Toronto Raptors +23 (110-87). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Jack * 35 4-14 2-5 3-4 3 2 2 0 3 13 3 -
Troy Murphy * 30 6-12 2-4 2-2 10 1 1 1 2 16 15 -
Brandon Rush * 27 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
Jeff Foster * 25 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 0 0 4 11 -
T.J. Ford * 25 7-16 0-3 1-1 1 6 1 0 3 15 4 -
Marquis Daniels * 24 2-5 0-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
Travis Diener * 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 1 1 5 8 -
Danny Granger * 18 3-11 1-7 3-4 3 0 1 0 2 10 1 -
Rasho Nesterovic * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Roy Hibbert 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -1 -
Maceo Baston 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Stephen Graham 6 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 3 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 34 9-11 3-3 6-8 9 4 2 1 3 27 29 -
Chris Bosh * 32 6-16 0-0 3-4 13 1 1 0 2 15 12 -
Jose Calderon * 31 6-9 1-2 2-3 3 12 2 0 0 15 23 -
Anthony Parker * 26 4-7 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 1 10 9 -
Joey Graham * 24 0-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
Shawn Marion * 23 3-9 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 2 10 2 -
Pops Mensah-Bonsu * 21 5-10 0-0 11-13 8 0 0 0 2 21 17 -
Jason Kapono * 20 3-11 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 6 1 -
Roko Ukic * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 1 -
Patrick O'Bryant 6 2-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Jake Voskuhl 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter