Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (106-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 40 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Weaver * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 26 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alando Tucker * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Robin Lopez | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter