Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 10-23 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 6-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 29 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| George Hill * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Bowen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ming Yao * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 33 | 7-19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 31 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter