Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (140-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehmet Okur * | 53 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 51 | 12-24 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 47 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 45 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 42 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 53 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 52 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 52 | 19-39 | 4-11 | 8-9 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 30 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 48 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| James Jones * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Luther Head * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter