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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (119-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 38 12-23 2-5 1-1 9 4 1 0 2 27 16 -
Jason Kidd * 37 8-16 5-8 0-0 10 11 2 0 2 21 26 -
Antoine Wright * 36 4-11 1-4 2-3 0 2 0 2 3 11 1 -
Jason Terry * 32 9-22 1-9 1-1 1 3 0 0 0 20 2 -
J.J. Barea * 26 3-12 0-1 2-2 5 6 1 0 0 8 8 -
James Singleton * 24 4-6 0-0 3-3 11 0 0 1 2 11 15 -
Erick Dampier * 19 2-5 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 1 0 6 13 -
Brandon Bass * 15 2-8 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 6 1 -
Ryan Hollins * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Matt Carroll 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 44 11-25 0-1 7-9 11 3 1 0 2 29 17 -
Stephen Jackson * 43 11-23 3-7 6-6 7 10 1 0 3 31 23 -
Jamal Crawford * 33 3-13 1-4 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 9 3 -
Ronny Turiaf * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 5 0 4 17 -
Kelenna Azubuike * 25 5-7 1-1 3-5 7 0 1 0 0 14 15 -
Anthony Morrow * 24 3-7 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 3 -
Anthony Randolph * 21 5-10 0-0 4-6 7 3 3 3 0 14 20 -
Brandan Wright * 15 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
Andris Biedrins * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter