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2009-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% - โœ—
Margin 41.3% 58.7% +1.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (116-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Harris * 41 9-20 0-6 13-17 7 12 3 0 6 31 27 -
Trenton Hassell * 35 6-9 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 13 6 -
Brook Lopez * 35 7-11 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 2 0 14 13 -
Vince Carter * 32 5-18 2-6 2-2 2 2 2 0 3 14 -1 -
Bobby Simmons * 22 3-5 2-3 2-5 4 2 0 0 0 10 11 -
Keyon Dooling * 21 3-5 2-2 2-2 2 5 0 0 1 10 11 -
Jarvis Hayes * 21 3-7 3-5 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
Sean Williams * 12 2-4 0-0 2-5 4 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
Jianlian Yi * 10 1-5 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Chris Douglas-Roberts 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 46 5-15 2-7 7-7 1 5 2 0 3 19 9 -
Stephen Jackson * 44 10-21 2-7 7-8 7 7 1 0 3 29 20 -
Corey Maggette * 31 1-4 0-0 16-20 7 1 0 0 3 18 19 -
Monta Ellis * 30 9-16 0-1 1-2 3 6 1 0 5 19 8 -
Andris Biedrins * 30 5-6 0-0 0-0 13 2 2 1 1 10 21 -
Ronny Turiaf * 17 2-4 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 3 0 4 10 -
Anthony Randolph * 16 1-2 0-0 6-8 6 0 0 0 0 8 12 -
Anthony Morrow * 13 2-5 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Kelenna Azubuike 8 1-7 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 4 2 -

* = starter