Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (130-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 55 | 9-25 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 8 | - |
| John Salmons * | 53 | 10-24 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 12 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 49 | 14-23 | 8-11 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 23 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 45 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 44 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 49 | 15-21 | 5-6 | 13-18 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 48 | 47 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 46 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 31 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| James Jones * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 9 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter