Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +5 (103-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 38 | 10-22 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 36 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 30 | 7-15 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 37 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter