Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +10 (99-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 9-23 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 39 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delonte West * | 43 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| LeBron James * | 43 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 38 | 10-15 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter