Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +16 (104-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 17 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| James Singleton * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Green | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Devean George | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 39 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 39 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| James Posey * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Devin Brown | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter