Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (107-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 38 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 37 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 15-25 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 18 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| George Hill * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Malik Hairston | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 10-15 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| James Singleton * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter