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2009-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 โœ“ (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +22 (110-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Jackson * 39 8-20 1-5 2-2 3 6 2 1 2 19 9 -
Jamal Crawford * 35 4-15 0-5 3-3 1 1 0 1 0 11 -1 -
Corey Maggette * 31 5-16 0-1 4-4 9 0 0 0 4 14 3 -
Andris Biedrins * 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 3 6 11 -
C.J. Watson * 23 5-8 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 11 5 -
Marco Belinelli * 22 4-8 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 10 5 -
Anthony Morrow * 19 3-9 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
Anthony Randolph * 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 2 4 10 -
Ronny Turiaf * 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
Jermareo Davidson 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
Rob Kurz 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 41 7-14 1-3 8-8 9 1 1 1 0 23 21 -
Derrick Rose * 39 6-14 0-0 2-2 3 6 0 0 3 14 6 -
Ben Gordon * 38 6-15 1-2 2-4 5 2 1 1 1 15 8 -
Joakim Noah * 33 3-11 0-0 8-8 17 1 1 4 2 14 24 -
Kirk Hinrich * 28 4-10 3-3 2-3 4 6 3 0 2 13 14 -
Tyrus Thomas * 27 4-10 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 2 8 7 -
Brad Miller * 25 7-9 0-0 5-7 6 1 0 0 2 19 15 -
Aaron Gray 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Anthony Roberson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter