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2009-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% - โœ—
Margin 46.8% 53.2% +0.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.6% 42.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks +4 (109-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 42 6-14 0-4 6-7 7 6 0 0 3 18 14 -
Marvin Williams * 40 8-17 0-5 1-2 8 2 1 1 2 17 10 -
Mike Bibby * 38 5-13 1-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 11 6 -
Al Horford * 36 9-14 0-0 2-2 13 2 0 2 1 20 22 -
Josh Smith * 29 7-10 1-2 1-3 2 0 1 0 4 16 5 -
Maurice Evans * 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
Flip Murray * 20 4-9 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 10 2 -
Zaza Pachulia * 7 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
Acie Law 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 7 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Larry Hughes * 40 9-18 2-4 3-4 4 4 3 0 2 23 14 -
Al Harrington * 37 8-18 2-5 2-4 10 1 4 0 1 20 16 -
Wilson Chandler * 36 7-15 0-3 4-4 2 2 1 0 0 18 8 -
Chris Duhon * 36 4-9 1-4 5-6 2 5 0 0 4 14 8 -
David Lee * 33 4-8 0-0 5-6 14 1 2 2 1 13 23 -
Danilo Gallinari * 22 6-11 4-5 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 17 9 -
Quentin Richardson * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Chris Wilcox * 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter