Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | +13.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +18 (91-73). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 38 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 9 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 35 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 5-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Delonte West * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 24 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Darnell Jackson * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tarence Kinsey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter