Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.6% | 27.4% | -5.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -11 (94-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Brooks * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 37 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 35 | 9-17 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 22 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 22 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 22 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mark Madsen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter