Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (110-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 39 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Al Horford * | 39 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 38 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Acie Law * | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario West | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 45 | 10-16 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 17-19 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 23 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| JR Smith * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter