Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +17 (93-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| James Singleton * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Devean George * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 37 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 15-32 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 20 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| George Hill * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Malik Hairston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter