Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +21 (99-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Allen Iverson * | 25 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Walter Herrmann * | 17 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delonte West * | 33 | 8-11 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| LeBron James * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 24 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 23 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tarence Kinsey | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter