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2009-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - โœ—
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 โœ— (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -11 (96-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dominic McGuire * 41 5-8 0-0 1-2 14 3 0 3 0 11 23 -
Antawn Jamison * 41 10-19 1-2 7-10 12 2 1 0 1 28 23 -
Caron Butler * 41 7-18 0-3 5-7 9 1 1 2 6 19 8 -
Darius Songaila * 28 5-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 10 8 -
Mike James * 25 6-15 1-3 6-6 3 1 2 0 2 19 8 -
Javaris Crittenton * 23 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 2 0 3 4 7 -
Andray Blatche * 20 4-12 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 0 1 9 9 -
Nick Young * 11 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 -
JaVale McGee * 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Harris * 43 7-16 2-4 10-13 4 10 2 1 3 26 24 -
Vince Carter * 41 6-17 1-6 4-6 4 7 1 0 1 17 11 -
Brook Lopez * 33 7-12 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 3 3 16 12 -
Bobby Simmons * 30 5-13 2-6 0-2 5 3 0 0 0 12 7 -
Keyon Dooling * 23 3-9 2-6 5-5 1 1 1 0 3 13 4 -
Ryan Anderson * 19 1-8 0-4 2-2 9 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
Trenton Hassell * 17 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
Jianlian Yi * 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Josh Boone * 14 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 1 4 6 -

* = starter