Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Telfair * | 43 | 7-14 | 6-10 | 10-10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 36 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Carney * | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 24 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jason Collins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 12-22 | 1-5 | 12-13 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 34 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| James Jones * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter