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2009-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 45 10-19 2-3 4-5 1 6 3 0 3 26 14 -
Antawn Jamison * 40 8-19 3-5 4-4 9 2 1 1 3 23 14 -
Nick Young * 30 3-10 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
Darius Songaila * 28 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 6 4 -
Dominic McGuire * 26 3-8 1-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 7 9 -
Javaris Crittenton * 25 3-6 0-0 0-2 5 4 1 0 3 6 7 -
Mike James * 22 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 5 0 1 4 6 5 -
JaVale McGee * 19 3-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 2 1 8 9 -
Juan Dixon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raymond Felton * 45 7-16 1-3 0-0 8 9 5 1 4 15 18 -
Boris Diaw * 43 7-15 0-4 0-1 5 7 2 7 7 14 13 -
D.J. Augustin * 38 7-12 4-7 6-6 5 4 1 0 0 24 22 -
Emeka Okafor * 32 4-7 0-0 8-10 13 2 1 2 1 16 26 -
Vladimir Radmanovic * 30 8-14 5-10 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 21 11 -
Cartier Martin * 24 3-8 1-3 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
DeSagana Diop * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Sean Singletary 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Sean May 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Alexis Ajinca 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter